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Mambilla hydropower: Nigeria avoids $3.3bn payout as tribunal dismisses legacy claim

Nigeria’s victory in a multi-billion-dollar international arbitration case will safeguard public finances and help unlock one of Africa’s largest delayed infrastructure projects, a political advocacy group has said.​

The Tinubu Stakeholders Forum (TSF) hailed a decision by the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) tribunal to dismiss claims by Sunrise Power and Transmission Company over the long-disputed Mambilla Hydropower Project.​ The tribunal rejected Sunrise Power’s primary claim of $2.35bn (£1.8bn), as well as a secondary $400m claim linked to an alleged settlement agreement.

In total, related proceedings had exposed the West African nation to potential liabilities exceeding $3.38bn.​In a joint statement issued by Chairman Ahmad Sajoh and Secretary Danjuma Sada, the TSF said the ruling removes a decades-long legal obstacle hanging over the country’s energy sector.​

“For Nigeria’s economy, the decision represents the avoidance of a potentially substantial financial liability, the recovery of legal costs and, potentially, the removal of a long-standing legal obstacle to one of the country’s most ambitious power projects,” the group said.​ Situated in eastern Taraba state, the proposed 3,050-megawatt Mambilla plant has long been considered critical to addressing Nigeria’s chronic electricity shortages, but progress has been repeatedly stalled by legal battles and contractual disputes.​ The group noted that the ruling arrives as the Nigerian government undertakes a structured plan to clear roughly ₦3.3tn ($2.1bn) in legacy debts within the domestic power market—a financial obligation smaller than the single arbitration claim now defeated.​”Eliminating this major liability prevents a massive financial drain, giving the government the necessary fiscal headroom to address inherited obligations and focus on sustainable power sector reforms,” the statement added.

​TSF urged the federal government to leverage the legal victory to restart development on the Mambilla site, arguing that a expanded national power grid would boost manufacturing, agriculture, and broader economic growth.

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