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Think tank challenges 2027 presidential candidates to commit to $1tn economy baseline​

ABUJA — Public policy think tank the Independent Media and Policy Initiative (IMPI) has challenged all presidential candidates contesting Nigeria’s 2027 general elections to commit to growing the national economy to $1 trillion by 2031.

​In a formal policy brief signed by its chairman, Dr. Niyi Akinsiju, the group argued that reaching a $1 trillion Gross Domestic Product (GDP) must serve as the uncompromised headline benchmark for any credible governance plan.​ According to IMPI, scaling the economy to this level is a practical prerequisite to ending multidimensional poverty, attracting foreign capital, and creating millions of high-yielding jobs for Nigeria’s expanding demographic base. ​The group highlighted that a $1 trillion economy would automatically elevate Nigeria into an investment-grade sovereign rating. This status, IMPI stated, would eliminate the “high-risk” penalty associated with foreign capital inflows, allowing the country to tap into global pension funds and sovereign wealth assets for major domestic infrastructure without expanding public debt.​

IMPI also stressed that reaching the trillion-dollar target requires moving beyond retail trade and raw oil extraction through deep-water industrialization. The policy brief outlined key proposals, including: ​Activating deep-water port corridors, ​establishing agro-processing hubs across Northern states, expanding urban digital technology hubs in the South, the group argued that these structural shifts would transition over 50% of the informal workforce into formal, tax-compliant, and secure employment.​

Highlighting recent macroeconomic trends, IMPI noted that foundational reforms under President Bola Tinubu—including fuel subsidy removal and foreign exchange unification—have cleared a runway for national growth. The think tank cited real GDP growth reaching 4.43% in the second quarter of 2026, driven primarily by non-oil activity, alongside gross external reserves rising to $54.08 billion.​”By our analysis, no alternative candidates can claim that a $1 trillion economy is an unrealistic arithmetic problem,” IMPI stated, asserting that the current policy frameworks prove growth is now organically generated rather than tied to volatile crude oil prices. ​Calling for a shift in political discourse ahead of 2027, the policy group urged voters and the media to reject vague campaign rhetoric. It demanded that opposition candidates publish explicit, numbers-driven Sectoral Capital Allocation Models detailing how they intend to achieve or outpace the $1 trillion target. ​”The national economic debate cannot be won by opposition to hardship alone; a superior vision for prosperity must win it,” the group concluded.

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